Peters, DeMaio race could be decided by 1,500 votes
Derek Staahl, SAN DIEGO 6 THE CW
Monday, November 3, 2014
The second factor is voter turnout. Vince Vasquez, senior policy analyst for the National University System Institute for Policy Research, believes voter turnout will be 34 percent to 48 percent countywide, with turnout in the 52nd Congressional District slightly higher. San Diego County Registrar Michael Vu predicts turnout in the hotly contested congressional race will be between 48 percent and 51 percent.
“I don’t think it will be that close,” Vasquez told San Diego 6.
Early voting figures released by NUSIPR Monday morning showed registered Republicans had returned 7,163 more mail-in ballots than registered Democrats.
"That is a very strong predictor for the outcome of this race. If Peters wins, it's because he made serious inroads with Republican voters and inland precincts. Otherwise, DeMaio has a significant edge coming into Election Day," he said by e-mail.